Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.068100 0.076711 0.085562 0.095310 0.105716 0.116463 0.128373
2025-05-04 0.055481 0.068490 0.082577 0.098823 0.116906 0.136291 0.158518
2025-05-11 0.044979 0.060221 0.077480 0.098142 0.121900 0.148079 0.178834
2025-05-18 0.039056 0.056038 0.075993 0.100601 0.129604 0.162220 0.201209
2025-05-25 0.034183 0.052356 0.074450 0.102422 0.136092 0.174607 0.221308
2025-06-01 0.028292 0.046646 0.069811 0.099964 0.137058 0.180220 0.233293
2025-06-08 0.023482 0.041753 0.065693 0.097694 0.137867 0.185342 0.244455
2025-06-15 0.021175 0.039992 0.065378 0.099998 0.144110 0.196825 0.263048
2025-06-22 0.018748 0.037772 0.064229 0.101052 0.148667 0.206194 0.279083
2025-06-29 0.017685 0.037441 0.065554 0.105266 0.157165 0.220354 0.300900
2025-07-06 0.015633 0.035353 0.064265 0.105883 0.160997 0.228742 0.315731
2025-07-13 0.015839 0.036872 0.068107 0.113431 0.173783 0.248259 0.344179
2025-07-20 0.013214 0.033595 0.065046 0.111752 0.174931 0.253766 0.356159
2025-07-27 0.012105 0.032798 0.065602 0.115091 0.182742 0.267776 0.378827
2025-08-03 0.010158 0.030224 0.063285 0.114266 0.184957 0.274690 0.392737
2025-08-10 0.009193 0.029343 0.063487 0.116954 0.191831 0.287516 0.414019
2025-08-17 0.008200 0.028252 0.063256 0.118949 0.197731 0.299087 0.433751
2025-08-24 0.006513 0.025405 0.059950 0.116252 0.197089 0.302121 0.442673
2025-08-31 0.005114 0.022854 0.056907 0.113760 0.196586 0.305231 0.451616
2025-09-07 0.004598 0.022288 0.057206 0.116290 0.203051 0.317444 0.472139
2025-09-14 0.003963 0.021280 0.056646 0.117446 0.207563 0.327090 0.489411
2025-09-21 0.003798 0.021510 0.058308 0.122067 0.216998 0.343275 0.515111
2025-09-28 0.003214 0.020423 0.057486 0.122743 0.220804 0.352004 0.531269